Note On the Business Implications of Emerging Technologies
29 January 2001 * TA Joost Bonsen * jpbonsen@alum.mit.edu * 617.930.0415
Purpose of Projects In Technology and Competitive Strategy (TCS) we survey emerging technologies and consider historical cases of technology commercialization in three sectors, Chips and Computation, Biotechnology, and Communication and Developing Nations. To encourage you to map out the implications of these new emerging technologies and to incorporate the lessons-learned from the cases, we ask for three team projects with short Business Briefs as deliverables and one substantial Final Project with a business brief, business plan, and product or service prototype as the deliverables.
Emerging Technologies Our intent in TCS is to highlight the new technologies in each sector which have a high probability of revolutionary impact. The goal is to appreciate (a) the essential advance the researchers are pursuing, and (b) some of the hoped for performance consequences of research success. If you have particular knowledge of, or interest in, an emerging technology not explicitly mentioned in class, please feel free to bring this to bear through your projects and, in general, to share anything worthwhile with us and classmates.
Business Implications As new technological possibilities emerge, there are often several market or business implications. For example, (1) traditional business practices may become more efficient with the new technology, allowing the same things to be done with considerably less time or money. Alternatively, the new technology may (2) allow a totally new way to solve the same or similar overall business problem. Or, the emerging technology may (3) trigger an entirely novel product or service category, solving problems previously untouchable or unrealized. Especially in these latter two cases, the nature of an industry, or the relationships between suppliers and customers in a value chain, may transform dramatically, leading to (4) new collateral business opportunities.
Seek Creative New Ideas As you look at a wide range of emerging technologies in the Computing and Logic sector, and later in the Biotechnology, Communications and Developing Nations sectors, you should think, brainstorm, speculate, and even wildly guess about potential business implications, from the more efficient through novel or collateral (i.e. numbers 1-4 above). We hope that joint teams from MIT and Harvard are very well-suited for this task. You are encouraged to speak to anyone you like inside the class or beyond about emerging technologies, business idea possibilities, market data, and so forth.
Bolder is Better Generally speaking, the bolder or more dramatic the idea you think up and present, or the larger the potential market consequences, the more appealing from the perspective of our class. Ultimately, of course, any serious new venture team and their proposal would endure repeated and deep reality-checks, forcing the team to sharpen their assumptions and confirm the appeal of their effort. For our short Business Briefs, however, we necessarily dispense with most of these crucial iterative forces. Even for your Final Project, while our expectations are higher, we still favor bold new venture opportunities over something mundane. By the same token, if you have identified a focused, realistic opportunity that appears modest in comparison to something really crazy, we also encourage you. We can be equally impressed with boldness or practicality, but you must at least be one or the other, or, in the best case, both!
Brainstorming Potential Opportunities Each emerging technology area is fruitful territory for multiple business opportunities. You should let your imagination reign free in order to speculate thoroughly about the most interesting of these implications. As just one example, let us take the specific case of Printed Logic. There are at least five or six categories of businesses one might propose grounded in this interesting emerging technology:
When you pick your favorite emerging technology area, there will be a similar hierarchy of business categories, loosely mapped either (a) to the potential or actual value chain in the industry, or (b) to the emerging layers of product architecture, or both. And within each of these categories are numerous possible new venture product and/or service proposals.
If youre stuck, perhaps with "writers block", please contact us or your fellow classmates. We are totally committed to helping you appreciate the emerging technologies and hone in on the most interesting possible business ideas.